海南城乡融合时空变化特征及驱动力分析

张玉玲1; 张永凤1; 闫 谨1; 蔡奕晴1; 王 平1; 2*

文章摘要

张玉玲1，张永凤1，闫谨1，蔡奕晴1，王平1，2*.海南城乡融合时空变化特征及驱动力分析[J].海南师范大学学报自科版,2021,34(4):435-444

海南城乡融合时空变化特征及驱动力分析

Analysis on Spatial-temporal Variation Characteristics and DrivingForces of Urban-rural Integration in Hainan Province

DOI：10.12051/j.issn.1674-4942.2021.04.012

中文关键词: 城乡融合变异系数法 Arcgis可视化驱动因子海南自由贸易港

英文关键词: urban-rural integration variation coefficient method Arcgis visualization driving factor Hainan Free Trade Port

基金项目:海南省自然科学基金项目（419QN216）；海南省高等学校科学研究重点项目（Hnky2019ZD-18）

作者	单位
张玉玲1，张永凤1，闫谨1，蔡奕晴1，王平1，2*	1. 海南师范大学地理与环境科学学院，海南海口 571158； 2. 海南省热带海岛地表过程与环境变化重点实验室，海南海口 571158

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中文摘要:

借助变异系数法和Arcgis10.4可视化手段从城乡空间、经济、社会和生态等维度对海南城乡融合发展进行时空演变分析，并运用回归模型探究海南城乡融合发展的主要驱动力。结果表明：（1）从城乡融合指数看，海口市和三亚市城乡融合水平远高于其他市、县，沿海地区城乡融合水平普遍高于内陆地区，2014—2017年多数市、县城乡融合指数呈小幅度波动变化，2017—2019年除白沙县、保亭县和临高县外其他市、县均呈稳步提升态势；（2）利用聚类分析法将海南城乡融合发展划分为高级融合、良好融合、一般融合、轻度失调、严重失调5个等级，海口市和三亚市分别属于高级融合和良好融合等级，五指山市属于一般融合等级，多数沿海地区属于轻度失调等级，多数内陆地区属于严重失调等级；（3）Arcgis10.4可视化结果显示，海南城乡融合发展呈现“南北两极突出” “沿海高于内陆”的空间分布特征；（4）回归分析结果显示，人均GDP、农林牧渔业增加值、旅游发展效益和农村非农就业比对城乡融合影响较为显著，除人均GDP对城乡融合产生负向效应外，其他3 个因子均对城乡融合发展起正向驱动作用。最后从思维转变、产业发展、乡村振兴等角度提出了城乡融合发展对策。

英文摘要:

With the help of variation coefficient and Arcgis visualization, this paper analyzed the spatial and temporal evo⁃ lution of urban-rural integration development in Hainan province from the dimensions of urban-rural space, economy, soci⁃ ety and ecology, and explored the main driving forces of urban-rural integration development by using regression model. The results showed that (1) from the perspective of urban-rural integration index, the level of urban-rural integration in Haikou city and Sanya city was much higher than that in other cities and counties, and the level of urban-rural integration in coastal areas was generally higher than that in inland areas. The urban-rural integration index of most cities and counties fluctuated slightly from 2014 to 2017. From 2017 to 2019, all cities and counties except Baisha county, Baoting county and Lingao county showed a steady upward trend; (2) cluster analysis divided the urban-rural integration development in Hain⁃ an province into five grades including advanced integration, good integration, general integration, mild imbalance and severe imbalance. Among them, Haikou city and Sanya city belonged to advanced integration and good integration respective⁃ ly, Wuzhishan city belonged to general integration, most coastal regions belonged to mild maladjustment type, and most in⁃ land regions belonged to severe maladjustment type; (3) Arcgis visualization results showed that for urban-rural integration development in Hainan province, it′s prominent in north and south poles, the coastal development is higher than that of in⁃ land; (4) regression analysis showed that per capita GDP, added value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fish⁃ ery, tourism development benefit and rural non-agricultural employment ratio had a significant impact on urban-rural inte⁃ gration. Except that per capita GDP had a negative effect on urban-rural integration, the other three factors all played a pos⁃ itive driving role in urban-rural integration. Finally, from the perspectives of thinking transformation, industrial develop⁃ ment and rural revitalization, this paper put forward the development countermeasures of urban-rural integration.

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